Fiscal Discipline
Debt Rules That Actually Work
Sensible use of national debt: fund infrastructure, fund during black swans. But we've tapped it too hard.
The Golden Rule (Hard Law)
Borrow only for assets with measurable yield: infrastructure, grids, ports, water, R&D platforms. No borrowing for operations/transfers outside declared recessions or disasters.
Debt Brakes & Stabilizers (Automatic)
- Debt/GDP glidepath rule: Set a declining band (-0.5 pp/yr outside recessions). Miss it → automatic reserve kicks in.
- Interest/Revenue cap: Net interest ≤12% of federal receipts. Breach triggers auto-reserve.
- Countercyclical carve-out: In NBER recession or declared black swan, caps relax only for 4-8 quarters; roll off automatically.
Capital Budget + ROI Discipline
- Federal capital budget distinct from OpEx
- Every capital project publishes 5/10/20-yr ROI
- Miss targets → automatic clawback and future scoring penalty
Monetary Policy: Keep the Fed Boring
- Independence codified: No presidential rate-setting; FOMC votes published next day
- No fiscal dominance: QE/QT only for market function in crisis; no routine debt monetization
- Term-out issuance: More 20s/30s to reduce rollover risk
- Plumbing > politics: Standing repo sized for liquidity, not backdoor QE
Kill the Leakage (Rent Chokepoints)
- Ban open-market buybacks
- Public-corp tax = 0%, private-corp tax = top personal rate
- Wealth-tax floor funds CET + cushions debt
- Procurement reform: fixed-fee + open-book; blacklist chronic change-order abuse
Program Sunsets & PAYGO+
- All new entitlements sunset in 10 years unless re-authorized with KPIs
- PAYGO tightened: offsets must be same-category, no off-budget gimmicks
What This Achieves
- Max free-market dynamics: Capital goes to growth or straight to owners
- Min rent-seeking: Starve the moats that push households into debt
- Debt that matters only: Long-life assets, crisis buffers - automatically reversed when skies clear
- A boring Fed: Deep markets, low drama, zero presidential rate cosplay
25-Year Outcome
- Debt/GDP: 55-65% and gently declining
- Net interest: ≤10% of receipts
- Social Security: 75-year solvency "boringly green"